FairValue

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Aleksey

Sutormin

RWRussia · Krylya Sovetov Samara

№ 217033Emerging €445k +0.30

Player dossierPremier Liga

AlekseySutormin

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Krylya Sovetov Samara
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sutormin at €600k. Model A, which never saw Sutormin during training, estimates €445k: the market value is 35% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €514k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.30A €445k▲ +0.15B €514k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
2,650
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
30/55
Min / app
48
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sutormin…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €445k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Aleksey Sutormin's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 9th, Assists per 90 12th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 43rd, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 28th9thGoals12thAssists60thMinutes43rdStarts32ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

2,650 this player2,242 attacker median60th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2012
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2019
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
May 2026€600kKrylya Sovetov SamaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-04-15€25kZenit St. Petersburg II
2015-08-26€100kVolgar Astrakhan
2016-01-10€200kVolgar Astrakhan
2016-07-01€250kVolgar Astrakhan
2016-12-27€250kVolgar Astrakhan
2017-06-01€350kVolgar Astrakhan
2017-12-05€500kVolgar Astrakhan
2018-06-06€750kFC Orenburg
2018-12-20€1.5MFC Orenburg
2019-04-24€2.5MFC Orenburg
2019-06-14€3.5MFC Orenburg
2019-12-23€3MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-04-08€2.4MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-07-29€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-12-29€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-06-02€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-12-29€3MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-06-02€3MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-11-21€2.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-04-13€2MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-06-14€1.8MZenit St. Petersburg
2023-12-13€1.5MZenit St. Petersburg
2024-06-04€1.2MFC Sochi
2024-09-18€1.5MFC Rostov
2024-12-12€1.2MFC Rostov
2025-06-04€1MFC Rostov
2025-12-16€800kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2026-05-26€600kKrylya Sovetov Samara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.299

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 19% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sutormin appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).