FairValue

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Deniz

Türüç

RWTürkiye · Konyaspor

№ 216662Emerging €827k −0.50

Player dossierSüper Lig

DenizTürüç

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Konyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
33
Height
177 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Türüç at €500k. Model A, which never saw Türüç during training, estimates €827k: the market value is 40% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.65. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.50A €827k▼ −1.53B €2.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
4,651
Goals
7
Assists
14
Started
53/71
Min / app
66
Cards
22Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Türüç…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €827k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Deniz Türüç's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 20th, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 88th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 70th, European club minutes 79th20thGoals87thAssists88thMinutes75thStarts70thRecent79thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,651 this player2,242 attacker median88th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2012
Peak
€6M
Dec 2020
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
42
4 club changes
May 2026€500kKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-08-02€50kGo Ahead Eagles
2013-06-04€150kGo Ahead Eagles
2013-09-26€300kGo Ahead Eagles
2014-02-11€500kGo Ahead Eagles
2014-08-11€900kGo Ahead Eagles
2015-02-11€900kGo Ahead Eagles
2015-07-01€800kGo Ahead Eagles
2016-01-18€1.5MKayserispor
2016-07-15€1.5MKayserispor
2017-01-10€2.5MKayserispor
2017-03-29€3MKayserispor
2017-06-09€3.5MKayserispor
2018-02-12€4MKayserispor
2018-05-29€3.5MKayserispor
2019-01-04€3MKayserispor
2019-06-04€3MKayserispor
2019-10-04€3.5MFenerbahce
2020-01-03€3.5MFenerbahce
2020-04-08€2.8MFenerbahce
2020-08-04€3MFenerbahce
2020-12-23€6MBasaksehir FK
2021-03-16€4MBasaksehir FK
2021-05-21€3.1MBasaksehir FK
2021-10-12€2.7MBasaksehir FK
2022-01-04€2.8MBasaksehir FK
2022-03-31€2.6MBasaksehir FK
2022-06-01€2.7MBasaksehir FK
2022-10-27€3MBasaksehir FK
2023-03-14€3MBasaksehir FK
2023-06-08€2.7MBasaksehir FK
2023-09-27€2.4MBasaksehir FK
2023-12-21€2.1MBasaksehir FK
2024-03-15€1.9MBasaksehir FK
2024-05-31€1.7MBasaksehir FK
2024-10-04€1.7MBasaksehir FK
2024-12-23€1.5MBasaksehir FK
2025-03-20€1.3MBasaksehir FK
2025-06-18€1.2MBasaksehir FK
2025-10-01€1MBasaksehir FK
2025-12-17€700kBasaksehir FK
2026-03-05€600kKonyaspor
2026-05-21€500kKonyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.504

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 20% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Türüç appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).