FairValue

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Haris

Hajradinovic

AMBosnia-Herzegovina · Kasimpasa

№ 215592Emerging €686k +0.56

Player dossierSüper Lig

HarisHajradinovic

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Kasimpasa
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Age
32
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hajradinovic at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Hajradinovic during training, estimates €686k: the market value is 75% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.75. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €874k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.56A €686k▲ +0.32B €874k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
3,545
Goals
11
Assists
9
Started
41/42
Min / app
84
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hajradinovic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €686k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Haris Hajradinovic's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 89th, Minutes, two years 66th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 21st, European club minutes 30th92ndGoals89thAssists66thMinutes97thStarts21stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

98% this player69% midfielder median97th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2012
Peak
€3.3M
Jun 2022
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
37
6 club changes
May 2026€1.2MKasimpasaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-10-01€100kOFK Olimpik Novi Grad - Sarajevo
2013-03-03€150kNK Inter Zapresic
2014-01-08€275kAS Trencin
2014-06-22€275kAS Trencin
2014-12-25€375kAS Trencin
2015-06-24€400kKAA Gent
2016-12-18€600kFK Haugesund
2017-10-23€700kNK Osijek
2018-03-18€850kNK Osijek
2018-09-25€1.4MNK Osijek
2019-03-27€2MKasimpasa
2019-06-04€1.8MKasimpasa
2019-10-04€2MKasimpasa
2020-01-03€3MKasimpasa
2020-04-08€2.4MKasimpasa
2020-08-04€3MKasimpasa
2020-12-23€3MKasimpasa
2021-03-16€3.2MKasimpasa
2021-05-21€3.2MKasimpasa
2021-10-12€2.8MKasimpasa
2022-01-04€2.4MKasimpasa
2022-03-31€2.9MKasimpasa
2022-06-01€3.3MKasimpasa
2022-10-27€3MKasimpasa
2023-03-14€2.5MKasimpasa
2023-06-08€2.5MKasimpasa
2023-09-27€2.3MKasimpasa
2023-12-21€2.5MKasimpasa
2024-03-15€2.8MKasimpasa
2024-05-31€2.7MKasimpasa
2024-10-04€2.5MKasimpasa
2024-12-23€2MKasimpasa
2025-03-20€2MKasimpasa
2025-06-18€2MKasimpasa
2025-12-17€1.8MKasimpasa
2026-03-05€1.5MKasimpasa
2026-05-21€1.2MKasimpasa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.559

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hajradinovic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).