FairValue

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Pierrick

Capelle

CMFrance · Angers SCO

№ 214532Emerging €209k −0.33

Player dossierLigue 1

PierrickCapelle

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Angers SCO
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
France
Age
39
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Capelle at €150k. Model A, which never saw Capelle during training, estimates €209k: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €189k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €209k▼ −0.23B €189k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,124
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
9/32
Min / app
35
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Capelle…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €209k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Pierrick Capelle's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals44thAssists16thMinutes4thStarts17thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.08 this player0.09 midfielder median44th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2012
Peak
€2M
Dec 2018
Model target
€150k
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
2 club changes
Jun 2026€150kAngers SCOValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150k, Angers SCO. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-30€150kClermont Foot Auvergne 63
2013-01-04€400kClermont Foot Auvergne 63
2013-05-30€500kClermont Foot Auvergne 63
2014-11-20€500kClermont Foot 63
2015-06-06€400kClermont Foot 63
2016-02-04€800kAngers SCO
2016-07-13€800kAngers SCO
2017-01-16€800kAngers SCO
2017-06-01€1MAngers SCO
2018-01-24€1MAngers SCO
2018-06-04€1MAngers SCO
2018-12-17€2MAngers SCO
2019-06-03€2MAngers SCO
2019-12-19€2MAngers SCO
2020-04-08€1.6MAngers SCO
2020-10-15€1.6MAngers SCO
2021-06-04€800kAngers SCO
2021-12-16€600kAngers SCO
2022-05-30€500kAngers SCO
2022-11-02€300kAngers SCO
2023-06-27€250kAngers SCO
2023-12-13€250kAngers SCO
2024-06-11€250kAngers SCO
2024-12-10€200kAngers SCO
2025-06-03€200kAngers SCO
2025-12-15€200kAngers SCO
2026-06-01€150kAngers SCO

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.331

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 0% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 2% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Capelle appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).