FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Diamantis

Chouchoumis

LBGreece · AE Kifisia

№ 212430Emerging €405k −0.30

Player dossierSuper League

DiamantisChouchoumis

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
AE Kifisia
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
31
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Chouchoumis at €300k. Model A, which never saw Chouchoumis during training, estimates €405k: the market value is 26% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €578k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.30A €405k▼ −0.66B €578k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
37
Minutes
2,304
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
24/37
Min / app
62
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chouchoumis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €405k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Diamantis Chouchoumis's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 81st, Minutes, two years 40th, Starts 20th, Minutes, last 365 days 22nd, European club minutes 30th56thGoals81stAssists40thMinutes20thStarts22ndRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.12 this player0.04 defender median81st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2012
Peak
€500k
May 2015
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
7 club changes
Jun 2026€300kAE KifisiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, AE Kifisia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-03€150kPanathinaikos
2012-08-26€250kPanathinaikos
2012-09-21€250kPanathinaikos
2013-02-10€300kPanathinaikos
2014-03-28€300kPanathinaikos
2014-11-11€300kPanathinaikos
2015-05-10€500kPanathinaikos
2015-09-27€500kPanathinaikos
2016-06-21€400kPanathinaikos
2016-12-21€350kPanathinaikos
2017-05-11€350kPanathinaikos
2017-12-28€300kSlovan Bratislava
2018-06-28€250kSlovan Bratislava
2019-01-14€200kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2020-10-12€200kApollon Smyrni
2021-02-12€200kApollon Smyrni
2021-11-01€300kPanetolikos
2022-06-09€350kPanetolikos
2022-11-07€350kPanetolikos
2023-05-22€350kPanetolikos
2023-12-20€300kAsteras Tripolis
2024-03-06€400kAsteras Tripolis
2024-05-30€400kAsteras Tripolis
2024-12-18€400kAsteras Aktor
2025-05-23€350kAsteras Aktor
2025-12-12€350kAE Kifisia
2026-06-04€300kAE Kifisia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.301

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 20% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 9% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Chouchoumis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).