FairValue

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Badou

Ndiaye

DMSenegal · Gaziantep FK

№ 211325Emerging €322k −0.07

Player dossierSüper Lig

BadouNdiaye

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Gaziantep FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Senegal
Age
35
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
17 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Ndiaye at €300k. Model A, which never saw Ndiaye during training, estimates €322k: the market value is 7% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €282k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.07A €322k▲ +0.06B €282k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
3,808
Goals
2
Assists
4
Started
43/53
Min / app
72
Cards
18Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndiaye…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €322k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Badou Ndiaye's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 33rd, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 63rd, European club minutes 30th33rdGoals50thAssists71stMinutes72ndStarts63rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

81% this player69% midfielder median72nd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2012
Peak
€15M
Feb 2018
Model target
€300k
Dec 2025
Valuations
33
12 club changes
Dec 2025€300kGaziantep FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €300k, Gaziantep FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-25€100kFK Bodø/Glimt
2013-12-02€800kFK Bodø/Glimt
2014-12-07€1.2MFK Bodø/Glimt
2015-10-08€2MOsmanlispor FK
2016-01-18€4MOsmanlispor FK
2016-07-15€4.3MOsmanlispor FK
2017-01-10€6MOsmanlispor FK
2017-06-09€5MOsmanlispor FK
2017-10-06€7MGalatasaray
2018-02-05€15MStoke City
2018-05-28€15MStoke City
2019-01-04€12MGalatasaray
2019-06-04€8.5MGalatasaray
2020-04-08€6.8MTrabzonspor
2020-08-04€6MStoke City
2020-10-12€4MFatih Karagümrük
2020-12-23€3.5MFatih Karagümrük
2021-06-18€2.7MAl-Ain SFC
2021-11-01€2.2MAris Thessaloniki
2022-06-09€1.8MAris Thessaloniki
2022-10-27€1.8MAdana Demirspor
2023-03-14€1.6MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-08€1.5MAdana Demirspor
2023-09-27€1.2MAdana Demirspor
2023-12-21€1MAdana Demirspor
2024-03-15€800kPendikspor
2024-05-31€700kPendikspor
2024-10-04€500kGaziantep FK
2024-12-23€450kGaziantep FK
2025-03-20€425kGaziantep FK
2025-06-18€375kGaziantep FK
2025-10-01€350kGaziantep FK
2025-12-17€300kGaziantep FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.072

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 12% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ndiaye appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).