FairValue

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Vladyslav

Kabaev

LWUkraine · Dynamo Kyiv

№ 210689Established €2.3M +0.09

Player dossierPremier Liha

VladyslavKabaev

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Dynamo Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kabaev at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Kabaev during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.09A €2.3M▼ −0.53B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
4,370
Goals
4
Assists
8
Started
50/69
Min / app
63
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kabaev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladyslav Kabaev's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 11th, Assists per 90 57th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 44th, European club minutes 91st11thGoals57thAssists85thMinutes72ndStarts44thRecent91stEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

27% this player0% attacker median91st percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2015
Peak
€4M
Dec 2024
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MDynamo KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Dynamo Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-03-10€100kChornomorets Odesa
2015-06-07€300kChornomorets Odesa
2015-12-17€300kChornomorets Odesa
2016-07-21€400kChornomorets Odesa
2016-09-30€500kChornomorets Odesa
2017-01-03€500kChornomorets Odesa
2017-06-26€500kChornomorets Odesa
2018-01-12€500kZorya Lugansk
2018-08-06€400kZorya Lugansk
2018-12-10€600kZorya Lugansk
2019-06-20€500kZorya Lugansk
2020-01-08€1.2MZorya Lugansk
2020-04-08€950kZorya Lugansk
2020-09-04€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2021-01-14€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2021-06-07€1.8MZorya Lugansk
2021-12-20€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2022-05-18€1.5MZorya Lugansk
2022-12-06€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2023-06-21€1.8MDynamo Kyiv
2023-12-11€1.5MDynamo Kyiv
2024-06-06€1.8MDynamo Kyiv
2024-09-12€3MDynamo Kyiv
2024-12-17€4MDynamo Kyiv
2025-06-10€4MDynamo Kyiv
2025-12-18€3MDynamo Kyiv
2026-06-02€2.5MDynamo Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.092

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 89% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kabaev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).