FairValue

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Visar

Musliu

CBNorth Macedonia · Sint-Truidense VV

№ 207623Emerging €1.4M −0.37

Player dossierPro League

VisarMusliu

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Sint-Truidense VV
League
Pro League
Nationality
North Macedonia
Age
31
Height
187 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Musliu at €1M. Model A, which never saw Musliu during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.45. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €807k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €1.4M▲ +0.21B €807k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
2,708
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
30/33
Min / app
82
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Musliu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Visar Musliu's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 47th, Starts 72nd, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists47thMinutes72ndStarts76thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,520 this player1,687 defender median76th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2011
Peak
€1.4M
May 2021
Model target
€1M
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
9 club changes
Jun 2026€1MSint-Truidense VVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1M, Sint-Truidense VV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-12-19€50kRenova Dzepciste
2012-05-28€50kRenova Dzepciste
2013-07-22€50kRenova Dzepciste
2014-01-02€150kRenova Dzepciste
2014-07-09€200kFC St. Gallen 1879 U21
2014-09-12€200kFC St. Gallen 1879 U21
2015-07-07€200kRenova Dzepciste
2015-12-17€250kRenova Dzepciste
2016-05-25€250kRenova Dzepciste
2016-12-14€250kRenova Dzepciste
2017-06-17€400kRenova Dzepciste
2017-12-14€600kVardar Skopje
2018-05-26€700kShkendija Tetovo
2018-12-12€800kShkendija Tetovo
2019-05-29€1MShkendija Tetovo
2019-10-30€750kMOL Vidi FC
2020-04-08€600kMOL Vidi FC
2020-07-28€900kVideoton FC Fehérvár
2020-10-23€1MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-01-24€1.1MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2021-05-27€1.4MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-01-07€1.1MVideoton FC Fehérvár
2022-03-23€900kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-06-16€800kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-10-05€700kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-12-08€700kFC Ingolstadt 04
2023-03-30€600kFC Ingolstadt 04
2023-06-13€500kFC Ingolstadt 04
2023-12-15€500kSC Paderborn 07
2024-06-06€600kSC Paderborn 07
2024-12-19€550kSC Paderborn 07
2025-06-12€650kSint-Truidense VV
2025-10-01€900kSint-Truidense VV
2025-12-10€900kSint-Truidense VV
2026-06-04€1MSint-Truidense VV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.369

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 27% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Musliu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).