FairValue

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Emre

Taşdemir

LBTürkiye · Kasimpasa

№ 204201Emerging €253k −0.93

Player dossierSüper Lig

EmreTaşdemir

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Kasimpasa
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
30
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Taşdemir at €100k. Model A, which never saw Taşdemir during training, estimates €253k: the market value is 61% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €466k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.93A €253k▼ −1.54B €466k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
657
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
7/20
Min / app
33
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Taşdemir…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €253k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Emre Taşdemir's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 4th, Starts 2nd, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 30th94thGoals86thAssists4thMinutes2ndStarts3rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.14 this player0.03 defender median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2013
Peak
€3M
Jan 2016
Model target
€100k
May 2026
Valuations
39
10 club changes
May 2026€100kKasimpasaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €100k, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-06-19€50kMKE Ankaragücü
2014-03-19€150kMKE Ankaragücü
2014-07-09€175kBursaspor
2015-01-26€500kBursaspor
2015-06-25€1.8MBursaspor
2016-01-18€3MBursaspor
2016-07-15€3MBursaspor
2017-01-10€3MBursaspor
2017-06-09€2.3MBursaspor
2018-02-12€1.8MBursaspor
2018-05-29€1.3MBursaspor
2018-10-11€500kBursaspor U21
2019-01-04€200kBursaspor U21
2019-03-27€500kGalatasaray
2019-06-04€700kGalatasaray
2020-01-03€650kGalatasaray
2020-04-08€525kKayserispor
2020-08-04€300kGalatasaray
2020-12-23€850kGalatasaray
2021-03-16€750kGalatasaray
2021-05-21€550kGalatasaray
2021-10-12€550kGiresunspor
2022-01-04€500kGiresunspor
2022-03-31€375kGiresunspor
2022-06-01€300kGiresunspor
2022-10-27€200kGalatasaray
2023-03-14€375kGalatasaray
2023-06-08€250kGalatasaray
2023-09-27€175kPendikspor
2023-12-21€125kPendikspor
2024-03-15€100kPendikspor
2024-05-31€125kPendikspor
2024-10-04€150kGaziantep FK
2024-12-23€150kGaziantep FK
2025-03-20€125kGaziantep FK
2025-06-18€125kGaziantep FK
2025-10-01€100kKasimpasa
2025-12-17€100kKasimpasa
2026-05-21€100kKasimpasa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.930

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 1% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Taşdemir appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).