FairValue

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Glenn

Bijl

RBNetherlands · Royal Antwerp FC

№ 203961Emerging €574k +0.04

Player dossierPro League

GlennBijl

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Royal Antwerp FC
League
Pro League
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
30
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bijl at €600k. Model A, which never saw Bijl during training, estimates €574k: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €449k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.04A €574k▲ +0.29B €449k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
2,221
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
30/35
Min / app
63
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bijl…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €574k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Glenn Bijl's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 57th, Assists per 90 51st, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 30th57thGoals51stAssists38thMinutes57thStarts17thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

86% this player83% defender median57th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2014
Peak
€2M
Oct 2023
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
6 club changes
Jun 2026€600kRoyal Antwerp FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, Royal Antwerp FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-05€25kFC Groningen/Cambuur U21
2015-02-16€50kFC Groningen/Cambuur U21
2015-07-01€50kFC Groningen U21
2016-02-05€50kFC Dordrecht
2016-07-01€100kFC Groningen U21
2017-06-07€100kFC Groningen U21
2018-03-01€200kFC Emmen
2018-06-29€350kFC Emmen
2018-10-04€700kFC Emmen
2018-12-28€800kFC Emmen
2019-06-12€900kFC Emmen
2019-12-18€1MFC Emmen
2020-04-08€800kFC Emmen
2020-10-14€1.2MFC Emmen
2021-03-09€1MFC Emmen
2021-05-19€1MFC Emmen
2021-12-06€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-06-02€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-11-21€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-06-14€1.8MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-10-05€2MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-12-13€2MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-06-04€2MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-12-12€1.8MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-06-04€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-12-10€1MRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-03-13€800kRoyal Antwerp FC
2026-06-04€600kRoyal Antwerp FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.045

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 13% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bijl appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).