FairValue

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Milos

Deletic

RWSerbia · POT Iraklis Thessaloniki

№ 203608Emerging €237k +0.39

Player dossierSuper League

MilosDeletic

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
POT Iraklis Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Serbia
Age
32
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Deletic at €350k. Model A, which never saw Deletic during training, estimates €237k: the market value is 48% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €317k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.39A €237k▲ +0.10B €317k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
1,961
Goals
1
Assists
4
Started
23/33
Min / app
59
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Deletic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €237k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Milos Deletic's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 7th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 12th, European club minutes 28th7thGoals64thAssists44thMinutes68thStarts12thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

70% this player59% attacker median68th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Nov 2012
Peak
€700k
May 2019
Model target
€350k
Dec 2025
Valuations
28
14 club changes
Dec 2025€350kPOT Iraklis ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, POT Iraklis Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-11-02€150kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2013-05-28€250kFK Vojvodina Novi Sad
2013-10-08€200kFK Napredak Krusevac
2014-03-28€300kSageata Navodari (- 2015)
2014-06-12€450kSageata Navodari (- 2015)
2014-12-12€325kSageata Navodari (- 2015)
2015-11-23€300kFK Jagodina
2016-05-29€300kFK Radnik Surdulica
2016-12-21€350kAE Larisa
2017-05-11€400kAE Larisa
2017-12-18€450kAE Larisa
2018-05-22€600kAE Larisa
2018-12-07€600kAE Larisa
2019-05-21€700kAE Larisa
2019-12-18€600kAEK Athens
2020-04-08€475kAsteras Tripolis
2020-08-04€500kAEK Athens
2021-02-12€400kPAS Lamia 1964
2022-01-11€600kAnorthosis Famagusta
2022-06-20€500kAnorthosis Famagusta
2022-11-07€700kVolos NPS
2023-05-22€700kVolos NPS
2023-12-20€700kVolos NPS
2024-06-05€650kTractor FC
2024-12-18€600kPanserraikos
2025-05-23€500kPanserraikos
2025-09-29€450kPOT Iraklis Thessaloniki
2025-12-29€350kPOT Iraklis Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.390

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 25% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 10% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Deletic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).