Danilo
Cataldi
DMItaly · SS Lazio
Player dossierSerie A
DaniloCataldi
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- SS Lazio
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Cataldi at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Cataldi during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 22% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 56
- Minutes
- 3,978
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 48/56
- Min / app
- 71
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cataldi…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player69% midfielder median80th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Mar 2012
- Peak
- €10M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €3.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €3.5M, SS Lazio. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-03-26 | €125k | Lazio U19 |
| 2012-06-12 | €150k | Lazio U19 |
| 2013-06-10 | €300k | Lazio U19 |
| 2014-01-29 | €1M | FC Crotone |
| 2014-07-15 | €2M | SS Lazio |
| 2015-01-07 | €2M | SS Lazio |
| 2015-03-20 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2015-07-01 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2016-01-04 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2016-07-15 | €6.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-01-02 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2017-06-08 | €6M | Genoa CFC |
| 2017-12-29 | €5M | Benevento Calcio |
| 2018-06-07 | €4M | Benevento Calcio |
| 2018-12-20 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-06-06 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-12-12 | €4M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.2M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-08-25 | €3.2M | SS Lazio |
| 2020-12-29 | €3M | SS Lazio |
| 2021-06-03 | €2.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2021-12-28 | €5M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-06-07 | €5M | SS Lazio |
| 2022-11-11 | €7M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-06-15 | €10M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-12-20 | €8M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-06-05 | €5.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-10-18 | €4M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2024-12-18 | €4M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-06-17 | €3.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2025-12-23 | €3.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2026-05-29 | €3.5M | SS Lazio |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.198
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 59% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cataldi appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ModrićCMAC Milan · Serie A€3.5M
- GeaGKACF Fiorentina · Serie A€3.5M
- FüllkrugCFAC Milan · Serie A€3.5M
- SpinazzolaLBSSC Napoli · Serie A€3.5M
- IscoAMReal Betis Balompié · midfielders€3.5M
- ZappacostaRMAtalanta BC · midfielders€3.5M
- SansonCMOGC Nice · midfielders€3.5M
- PrömelCMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · midfielders€3.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).