FairValue

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Unai

García

CBSpain · Panetolikos

№ 197122Emerging €138k +1.06

Player dossierSuper League

UnaiGarcía

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Panetolikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Spain
Age
34
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values García at €400k. Model A, which never saw García during training, estimates €138k: the market value is 189% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.89. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €233k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.06A €138k▲ +0.54B €233k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,452
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
17/23
Min / app
63
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for García…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €138k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Unai García's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists22ndMinutes33rdStarts35thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,207 this player1,687 defender median35th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jan 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Nov 2022
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
29
2 club changes
Jun 2026€400kPanetolikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, Panetolikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-01-08€100kCA Osasuna Promesas
2015-07-01€300kCA Osasuna
2015-11-20€600kCA Osasuna
2016-02-22€800kCA Osasuna
2016-07-15€1MCA Osasuna
2017-01-24€1.2MCA Osasuna
2017-06-05€1.2MCA Osasuna
2018-01-01€1MCA Osasuna
2018-05-30€1MCA Osasuna
2019-02-19€1MCA Osasuna
2019-06-29€2MCA Osasuna
2019-12-20€1MCA Osasuna
2020-04-08€800kCA Osasuna
2020-10-08€800kCA Osasuna
2021-01-05€1MCA Osasuna
2021-06-10€1.5MCA Osasuna
2021-12-30€1.5MCA Osasuna
2022-06-03€1.5MCA Osasuna
2022-11-07€2.5MCA Osasuna
2023-06-13€2.5MCA Osasuna
2023-10-13€1.5MCA Osasuna
2023-12-22€1.5MCA Osasuna
2024-06-07€1.2MCA Osasuna
2024-12-27€1MCA Osasuna
2025-06-09€800kCA Osasuna
2025-09-23€700kPanetolikos
2025-12-12€600kPanetolikos
2026-03-06€500kPanetolikos
2026-06-04€400kPanetolikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.061

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 29% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where García appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).