FairValue

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Portrait of Ulisses Garcia

Ulisses

Garcia

LBSwitzerland · US Sassuolo

№ 192616Established €2.3M +0.25

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

UlissesGarcia

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
US Sassuolo
League
Serie A
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
30
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Garcia at €3M. Model A, which never saw Garcia during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 28% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.25A €2.3M▲ +0.56B €1.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,198
Goals
3
Assists
5
Started
23/39
Min / app
56
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Garcia…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ulisses Garcia's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 37th, European club minutes 67th92ndGoals96thAssists37thMinutes14thStarts37thRecent67thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.20 this player0.04 defender median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2014
Peak
€5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
33
6 club changes
May 2026€3MUS SassuoloValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, US Sassuolo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-14€50kGrasshopper Club Zürich U21
2014-09-12€50kGrasshopper Club Zurich
2015-06-18€150kGrasshopper Club Zurich
2015-10-16€1MSV Werder Bremen
2016-02-15€1MSV Werder Bremen
2016-07-22€1MSV Werder Bremen
2017-02-07€750kSV Werder Bremen
2017-06-19€750kSV Werder Bremen
2017-12-28€500kSV Werder Bremen
2018-06-19€400k1.FC Nuremberg
2018-07-12€400kBSC Young Boys
2019-01-21€800kBSC Young Boys
2019-04-15€1.8MBSC Young Boys
2019-06-04€1.8MBSC Young Boys
2020-01-06€2.5MBSC Young Boys
2020-04-08€2MBSC Young Boys
2020-07-31€2MBSC Young Boys
2020-12-28€2MBSC Young Boys
2021-06-23€1.7MBSC Young Boys
2021-10-04€2MBSC Young Boys
2022-01-03€3MBSC Young Boys
2022-06-08€2MBSC Young Boys
2022-11-10€1.2MBSC Young Boys
2023-03-28€2MBSC Young Boys
2023-06-07€2.7MBSC Young Boys
2023-10-19€2.7MBSC Young Boys
2023-12-21€3MBSC Young Boys
2024-03-19€4MOlympique Marseille
2024-06-03€4MOlympique Marseille
2024-12-10€4MOlympique Marseille
2025-06-03€5MOlympique Marseille
2025-12-15€3MOlympique Marseille
2026-05-29€3MUS Sassuolo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.248

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 29% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Garcia appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).