Mahmoud
Dahoud
CMSyria · Eintracht Frankfurt
Player dossierBundesliga
MahmoudDahoud
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Syria
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Dahoud at €2M. Model A, which never saw Dahoud during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 37
- Minutes
- 1,694
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 18/37
- Min / app
- 46
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dahoud…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
36% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Aug 2013
- Peak
- €18M
- Apr 2018
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-08-27 | €200k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2014-02-20 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2014-07-10 | €150k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2014-11-03 | €600k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2015-02-04 | €600k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2015-07-01 | €600k | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2015-10-16 | €2.5M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-02-15 | €8M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-04-13 | €12M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2016-07-22 | €15M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-02-07 | €15M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-06-19 | €15M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-12-28 | €15M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2018-04-04 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2018-06-05 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2018-12-18 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2019-06-05 | €14M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2019-10-02 | €10M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2019-12-17 | €8M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.5M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2020-11-26 | €10M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-02-10 | €8.5M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-03-31 | €11M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-06-09 | €16M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-10-07 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2021-12-22 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2022-06-09 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2022-11-09 | €18M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-03-29 | €12M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-06-22 | €12M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2023-12-19 | €14M | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2024-03-27 | €8M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2024-05-29 | €6M | VfB Stuttgart |
| 2024-12-20 | €5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-06-05 | €3.5M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-10-14 | €2M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-12-19 | €2M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-27 | €2M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.099
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Dahoud appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€2M
- RönnowGK1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€2M
- KhediraDM1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).