FairValue

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Fabricio

Pedrozo

LWArgentina · Levadiakos

№ 186239Emerging €394k −0.97

Player dossierSuper League

FabricioPedrozo

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Levadiakos
League
Super League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
33
Height
178 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pedrozo at €150k. Model A, which never saw Pedrozo during training, estimates €394k: the market value is 62% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €676k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.97A €394k▼ −1.51B €676k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
2,646
Goals
15
Assists
4
Started
27/55
Min / app
48
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pedrozo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €150k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €150kModel A €394k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Fabricio Pedrozo's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 89th, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 59th, European club minutes 28th89thGoals46thAssists60thMinutes33rdStarts59thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.51 this player0.26 attacker median89th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Jun 2011
Peak
€425k
Feb 2020
Model target
€150k
Jun 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
Jun 2026€150kLevadiakosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €150k, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-06-30€300kCA San Lorenzo de Almagro
2020-02-17€425kCA Atlanta
2020-04-08€350kCA Atlanta
2021-05-17€325kCA Atlanta
2021-12-22€350kCA Atlanta
2022-07-05€275kCA Atlanta
2023-02-27€275kAE Larisa
2023-06-19€275kAE Larisa
2023-12-28€250kAE Larisa
2024-05-23€250kAE Larisa
2024-12-18€200kLevadiakos
2025-05-23€175kLevadiakos
2025-12-12€175kLevadiakos
2026-06-04€150kLevadiakos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.966

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 6% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 2% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€150kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pedrozo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).