FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Seko

Fofana

CMCote d'Ivoire · FC Porto

№ 182893Established €4M +0.69

Player dossierLiga Portugal

SekoFofana

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Porto
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Fofana at €8M. Model A, which never saw Fofana during training, estimates €4M: the market value is 100% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.69A €4M▲ +1.64B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
2,091
Goals
5
Assists
2
Started
21/44
Min / app
48
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fofana…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Seko Fofana's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 84th, Assists per 90 46th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 40th, European club minutes 77th84thGoals46thAssists39thMinutes18thStarts40thRecent77thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.22 this player0.08 midfielder median84th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Feb 2015
Peak
€32M
Jun 2023
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
29
7 club changes
May 2026€8MFC PortoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, FC Porto. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-02-24€500kFulham FC
2015-09-06€1.3MSC Bastia
2016-02-04€1.5MSC Bastia
2016-07-15€3.5MUdinese Calcio
2017-01-02€6MUdinese Calcio
2017-06-08€7.5MUdinese Calcio
2017-12-29€10MUdinese Calcio
2018-06-07€9.5MUdinese Calcio
2018-10-12€13MUdinese Calcio
2018-12-20€13MUdinese Calcio
2019-06-06€13MUdinese Calcio
2019-12-12€12MUdinese Calcio
2020-04-08€9.5MUdinese Calcio
2020-08-25€10MRC Lens
2020-10-15€10MRC Lens
2021-06-04€12MRC Lens
2021-12-16€18MRC Lens
2022-03-23€20MRC Lens
2022-05-30€25MRC Lens
2022-09-19€30MRC Lens
2022-11-02€30MRC Lens
2023-06-27€32MRC Lens
2023-10-24€24MAl-Nassr FC
2023-12-15€20MAl-Nassr FC
2024-06-04€16MAl-Ettifaq FC
2024-12-13€12MAl-Ettifaq FC
2025-06-03€10MStade Rennais FC
2025-12-15€8MStade Rennais FC
2026-05-28€8MFC Porto

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.691

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 84% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Fofana appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).