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Thomas

Didillon-Hödl

GKFrance · Willem II Tilburg

№ 182891Emerging €368k +0.78

Player dossierEredivisie

ThomasDidillon-Hödl

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Willem II Tilburg
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
France
Age
30
Height
193 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Didillon-Hödl at €800k. Model A, which never saw Didillon-Hödl during training, estimates €368k: the market value is 118% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €756k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.78A €368k▲ +0.06B €756k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
3,060
Started
34/34
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Didillon-Hödl…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €368k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Thomas Didillon-Hödl's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 56th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 32nd56thMinutes62ndStarts51stRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2013
Peak
€5M
Mar 2019
Model target
€800k
Dec 2025
Valuations
34
9 club changes
Dec 2025€800kWillem II TilburgValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €800k, Willem II Tilburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-08-07€50kFC Metz
2014-01-13€50kFC Metz
2014-10-20€250kSeraing United
2015-05-16€350kSeraing United
2015-09-06€800kFC Metz
2016-02-04€1MFC Metz
2016-07-13€1.5MFC Metz
2016-11-01€2MFC Metz
2017-01-16€3.5MFC Metz
2017-06-01€3.5MFC Metz
2018-01-24€2.5MFC Metz
2018-06-04€2.5MFC Metz
2018-09-11€3MRSC Anderlecht
2018-12-27€4MRSC Anderlecht
2019-03-04€5MRSC Anderlecht
2019-06-10€5MRSC Anderlecht
2019-09-13€4MRSC Anderlecht
2019-12-13€3.5MRSC Anderlecht
2020-04-08€2.8MKRC Genk
2020-08-06€2.2MRSC Anderlecht
2020-10-16€2.2MCercle Brugge
2021-01-04€1.7MCercle Brugge
2021-06-07€1.5MCercle Brugge
2022-01-06€1.3MCercle Brugge
2022-04-12€1.3MCercle Brugge
2022-11-02€1.2MAS Monaco
2023-06-27€1MAS Monaco
2023-10-23€700kCercle Brugge
2023-12-19€600kCercle Brugge
2024-06-04€500kCercle Brugge
2024-10-14€750kWillem II Tilburg
2024-12-17€950kWillem II Tilburg
2025-05-28€900kWillem II Tilburg
2025-12-16€800kWillem II Tilburg

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.777

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 40% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Didillon-Hödl appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).