Thomas
Didillon-Hödl
Player dossierEredivisie
ThomasDidillon-Hödl
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Willem II Tilburg
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 16 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Didillon-Hödl at €800k. Model A, which never saw Didillon-Hödl during training, estimates €368k: the market value is 118% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €756k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 34
- Minutes
- 3,060
- Started
- 34/34
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Didillon-Hödl…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2013
- Peak
- €5M
- Mar 2019
- Model target
- €800k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 34
- 9 club changes
Dec 2025: €800k, Willem II Tilburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-08-07 | €50k | FC Metz |
| 2014-01-13 | €50k | FC Metz |
| 2014-10-20 | €250k | Seraing United |
| 2015-05-16 | €350k | Seraing United |
| 2015-09-06 | €800k | FC Metz |
| 2016-02-04 | €1M | FC Metz |
| 2016-07-13 | €1.5M | FC Metz |
| 2016-11-01 | €2M | FC Metz |
| 2017-01-16 | €3.5M | FC Metz |
| 2017-06-01 | €3.5M | FC Metz |
| 2018-01-24 | €2.5M | FC Metz |
| 2018-06-04 | €2.5M | FC Metz |
| 2018-09-11 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2018-12-27 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2019-03-04 | €5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2019-06-10 | €5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2019-09-13 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2019-12-13 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.8M | KRC Genk |
| 2020-08-06 | €2.2M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2020-10-16 | €2.2M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2021-01-04 | €1.7M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2021-06-07 | €1.5M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2022-01-06 | €1.3M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2022-04-12 | €1.3M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2022-11-02 | €1.2M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-06-27 | €1M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-10-23 | €700k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2023-12-19 | €600k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2024-06-04 | €500k | Cercle Brugge |
| 2024-10-14 | €750k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2024-12-17 | €950k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2025-05-28 | €900k | Willem II Tilburg |
| 2025-12-16 | €800k | Willem II Tilburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.777
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 40% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 39% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Didillon-Hödl appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie€800k
- BranderhorstGKFortuna Sittard · Eredivisie€800k
- EdvardsenCFGo Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie€800k
- FloranusLBPEC Zwolle · Eredivisie€800k
- SzczesnyGKFC Barcelona · goalkeepers€800k
- NylandGKSevilla FC · goalkeepers€800k
- LunevGKDynamo Moscow · goalkeepers€800k
- LecomteGKFulham FC · goalkeepers€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).



