Marquinhos
CBBrazil · Paris Saint-Germain
Player dossierLigue 1
Marquinhos
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Paris Saint-Germain
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Marquinhos at €28M. Model A, which never saw Marquinhos during training, estimates €8.3M: the market value is 238% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 75
- Minutes
- 6,194
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 69/75
- Min / app
- 83
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Marquinhos…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €28M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
52% this player0% defender median99th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Feb 2012
- Peak
- €75M
- Jun 2021
- Model target
- €28M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 36
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €28M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-02 | €150k | Sport Club Corinthians Paulista |
| 2012-05-24 | €150k | Sport Club Corinthians Paulista |
| 2012-07-29 | €750k | Sport Club Corinthians Paulista |
| 2013-01-14 | €5M | AS Roma |
| 2013-04-09 | €10M | AS Roma |
| 2013-06-19 | €15M | AS Roma |
| 2013-07-25 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2014-01-14 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2014-08-01 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2015-01-14 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2015-06-06 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2015-09-06 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2016-02-04 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2016-07-13 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2017-01-16 | €32M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2017-06-01 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-01-24 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-03-20 | €55M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-06-04 | €55M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-12-17 | €60M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-06-03 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-12-19 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2020-04-08 | €52M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2020-10-15 | €70M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-06-04 | €75M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-12-16 | €75M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-05-30 | €70M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2022-11-02 | €70M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-06-27 | €65M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2023-12-18 | €60M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-03-19 | €55M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-06-03 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2024-12-10 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-06-03 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-12-15 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-06-01 | €28M | Paris Saint-Germain |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.218
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 91% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 95% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Marquinhos appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GouiriCFOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€28M
- LeeAMParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€28M
- SafonovGKParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€30M
- RuizCMParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€30M
- TahCBBayern Munich · defenders€28M
- MilenkovićCBNottingham Forest · defenders€28M
- BasseyCBFulham FC · defenders€28M
- FofanaCBChelsea FC · defenders€28M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).