FairValue

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Dani

García

DMSpain · Olympiacos Piraeus

№ 178425Emerging €622k +0.12

Player dossierSuper League

DaniGarcía

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Olympiacos Piraeus
League
Super League
Nationality
Spain
Age
36
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values García at €700k. Model A, which never saw García during training, estimates €622k: the market value is 12% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.12. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €430k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.12A €622k▲ +0.49B €430k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
3,276
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
41/57
Min / app
57
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for García…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €622k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dani García's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 23rd, Assists per 90 31st, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 49th, European club minutes 92nd23rdGoals31stAssists62ndMinutes56thStarts49thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

26% this player0% midfielder median92nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Oct 2013
Peak
€6M
Dec 2019
Model target
€700k
Jun 2026
Valuations
31
2 club changes
Jun 2026€700kOlympiacos PiraeusValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €700k, Olympiacos Piraeus. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-08€300kSD Eibar
2014-02-06€500kSD Eibar
2014-07-20€600kSD Eibar
2014-10-23€1MSD Eibar
2015-01-23€1.5MSD Eibar
2015-07-01€2MSD Eibar
2015-11-23€2.5MSD Eibar
2016-02-22€3MSD Eibar
2016-07-15€4MSD Eibar
2017-01-24€4MSD Eibar
2017-06-05€5MSD Eibar
2018-01-01€5MSD Eibar
2018-05-30€4MSD Eibar
2018-12-21€4MAthletic Bilbao
2019-06-11€4MAthletic Bilbao
2019-12-20€6MAthletic Bilbao
2020-04-08€4.8MAthletic Bilbao
2020-10-08€4MAthletic Bilbao
2021-01-05€4MAthletic Bilbao
2021-06-10€3MAthletic Bilbao
2021-12-30€3MAthletic Bilbao
2022-06-03€3MAthletic Bilbao
2022-11-07€2MAthletic Bilbao
2023-06-13€2MAthletic Bilbao
2023-12-22€2MAthletic Bilbao
2024-06-07€1.8MAthletic Bilbao
2024-09-26€1.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2024-12-18€1.2MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-05-23€900kOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-12-12€800kOlympiacos Piraeus
2026-06-04€700kOlympiacos Piraeus

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.118

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 55% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where García appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).