FairValue

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Oleksiy

Khoblenko

CFUkraine · Chornomorets Odesa

№ 176412Emerging €276k +0.08

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksiyKhoblenko

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Chornomorets Odesa
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
31
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Khoblenko at €300k. Model A, which never saw Khoblenko during training, estimates €276k: the market value is 9% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €620k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.08A €276k▼ −0.73B €620k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,704
Goals
5
Assists
3
Started
30/39
Min / app
69
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khoblenko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €276k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oleksiy Khoblenko's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 32nd, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 79th, Minutes, last 365 days 32nd, European club minutes 28th27thGoals32ndAssists61stMinutes79thStarts32ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

77% this player59% attacker median79th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Oct 2014
Peak
€800k
Dec 2019
Model target
€300k
Dec 2025
Valuations
24
12 club changes
Dec 2025€300kChornomorets OdesaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €300k, Chornomorets Odesa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-20€200kDynamo-2 Kyiv
2015-10-14€300kGoverla Uzhgorod (- 2016)
2015-12-17€400kGoverla Uzhgorod (- 2016)
2016-07-21€400kChornomorets Odesa
2017-01-03€500kChornomorets Odesa
2017-06-26€600kChornomorets Odesa
2018-01-12€700kLech Poznan
2018-07-03€700kDynamo Brest
2018-12-04€700kDynamo Brest
2019-07-25€650kDynamo Brest
2019-12-09€800kDynamo Brest
2020-04-08€650kSC Dnipro-1
2020-09-04€700kSC Dnipro-1
2021-01-14€600kSC Dnipro-1
2021-06-07€500kStabæk Fotball
2021-12-06€600kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2022-05-13€500kFCI Levadia
2022-12-06€300kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-06-21€300kKarpaty Lviv
2023-12-11€300kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-06-06€400kLNZ Cherkasy
2024-12-17€350kChornomorets Odesa
2025-06-10€300kChornomorets Odesa
2025-12-18€300kChornomorets Odesa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.084

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 27% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khoblenko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).