Ludwig
Augustinsson
LBSweden · RSC Anderlecht
Player dossierPro League
LudwigAugustinsson
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- RSC Anderlecht
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Sweden
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Pro LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Augustinsson at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Augustinsson during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 16% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 56
- Minutes
- 3,896
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 43/56
- Min / app
- 70
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Augustinsson…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
25% this player0% defender median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2012
- Peak
- €12M
- Jul 2018
- Model target
- €1.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.5M, RSC Anderlecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-11 | €150k | IF Brommapojkarna |
| 2013-06-26 | €700k | IFK Göteborg |
| 2014-03-28 | €700k | IFK Göteborg |
| 2015-02-06 | €700k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2015-09-02 | €2M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2016-01-21 | €3M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2016-06-01 | €3.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2016-08-12 | €3.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2016-12-12 | €4M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2017-06-21 | €4M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2017-12-28 | €4.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2018-04-04 | €6.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2018-06-05 | €7.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2018-07-16 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2018-12-18 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2019-06-05 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2019-12-17 | €12M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2020-04-08 | €9.5M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2020-09-16 | €8M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-02-10 | €10M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-05-31 | €10M | SV Werder Bremen |
| 2021-10-13 | €7.5M | Sevilla FC |
| 2021-12-30 | €7M | Sevilla FC |
| 2022-06-03 | €5M | Sevilla FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €4M | Aston Villa |
| 2023-03-23 | €3M | RCD Mallorca |
| 2023-06-13 | €2.5M | RCD Mallorca |
| 2023-12-19 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2024-06-04 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2024-12-11 | €4M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2025-03-26 | €3.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2025-06-12 | €3M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2025-10-01 | €2.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2025-12-10 | €2M | RSC Anderlecht |
| 2026-06-04 | €1.5M | RSC Anderlecht |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.152
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 39% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Augustinsson appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PraetCMRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€1.5M
- NielsenCMStandard Liège · Pro League€1.5M
- SchrijversCMOud-Heverlee Leuven · Pro League€1.5M
- KouyatéCBRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€1.5M
- TraunerCBFeyenoord Rotterdam · defenders€1.5M
- KüblerRBSC Freiburg · defenders€1.5M
- WalkerRBBurnley FC · defenders€1.5M
- TrippierRBNewcastle United · defenders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).