FairValue

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Leander

Dendoncker

DMBelgium · Real Oviedo

№ 168157Emerging €1.2M +0.40

Player dossierLaLiga

LeanderDendoncker

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Real Oviedo
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Belgium
Age
31
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dendoncker at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Dendoncker during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 50% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.40A €1.2M▲ +0.03B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,785
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
42/47
Min / app
81
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dendoncker…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Leander Dendoncker's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 22nd, Assists per 90 18th, Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 86th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 82nd22ndGoals18thAssists71stMinutes86thStarts43rdRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

89% this player69% midfielder median86th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2013
Peak
€32M
Dec 2020
Model target
€1.8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
44
7 club changes
Jun 2026€1.8MReal OviedoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €1.8M, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-02-18€100kRSC Anderlecht U19
2013-06-25€100kRSC Anderlecht U19
2013-08-12€250kRSC Anderlecht U21
2013-10-08€500kRSC Anderlecht U21
2014-02-10€500kRSC Anderlecht U21
2014-06-28€500kRSC Anderlecht U21
2014-10-05€600kRSC Anderlecht
2015-01-07€1.5MRSC Anderlecht
2015-03-24€3.5MRSC Anderlecht
2015-06-24€4MRSC Anderlecht
2015-10-22€6MRSC Anderlecht
2016-02-07€8MRSC Anderlecht
2016-07-15€8MRSC Anderlecht
2017-01-21€10MRSC Anderlecht
2017-03-30€12MRSC Anderlecht
2017-06-06€15MRSC Anderlecht
2017-10-20€17MRSC Anderlecht
2018-01-09€18MRSC Anderlecht
2018-03-30€16.5MRSC Anderlecht
2018-06-03€17MRSC Anderlecht
2018-12-19€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-06-13€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-09-12€25MWolverhampton Wanderers
2019-12-10€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-04-08€22.5MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-07-30€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-10-13€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2020-12-17€32MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-03-18€32MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-05-26€30MWolverhampton Wanderers
2021-12-23€30MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-06-15€28MWolverhampton Wanderers
2022-11-03€22MAston Villa
2023-03-16€17MAston Villa
2023-06-20€15MAston Villa
2023-12-19€11MAston Villa
2024-03-12€9MSSC Napoli
2024-06-05€7MSSC Napoli
2024-12-11€6MRSC Anderlecht
2025-03-26€4.5MRSC Anderlecht
2025-06-12€4.5MRSC Anderlecht
2025-12-12€4MReal Oviedo
2026-03-16€3MReal Oviedo
2026-06-05€1.8MReal Oviedo

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.404

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 25% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dendoncker appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).