FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Yevgen

Volynets

GKUkraine · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 166581Emerging €701k +0.07

Player dossierPremier Liha

YevgenVolynets

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Volynets at €750k. Model A, which never saw Volynets during training, estimates €701k: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €701k▼ −0.42B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
4,492
Started
50/50
Min / app
90
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Volynets…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €701k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Yevgen Volynets's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 71st, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 65th, European club minutes 69th71stMinutes62ndStarts65thRecent69thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,492 this player2,790 goalkeeper median71st percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2014
Peak
€800k
Jun 2021
Model target
€750k
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
Jun 2026€750kPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €750k, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-10-20€100kDynamo-2 Kyiv
2015-09-26€50kDynamo-2 Kyiv
2017-02-09€75kGelios Kharkiv
2018-01-04€50kKolos Kovalivka
2018-05-27€75kKolos Kovalivka
2018-12-02€75kKolos Kovalivka
2019-06-16€50kKolos Kovalivka
2020-01-08€400kKolos Kovalivka
2020-04-08€325kKolos Kovalivka
2020-09-04€600kKolos Kovalivka
2021-01-14€700kKolos Kovalivka
2021-06-07€800kKolos Kovalivka
2021-12-20€600kKolos Kovalivka
2022-05-18€600kKolos Kovalivka
2022-12-06€700kKolos Kovalivka
2023-06-21€700kKolos Kovalivka
2023-12-11€700kSC Dnipro-1
2024-06-06€800kSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€700kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-06-10€600kPolissya Zhytomyr
2025-12-18€800kPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-06-02€750kPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.068

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 71% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 38% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Volynets appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).