FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Panagiotis

Tsintotas

GKGreece · Asteras Aktor

№ 164729Emerging €151k +0.28

Player dossierSuper League

PanagiotisTsintotas

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Asteras Aktor
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
32
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tsintotas at €200k. Model A, which never saw Tsintotas during training, estimates €151k: the market value is 33% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €320k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €151k▼ −0.47B €320k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
18
Minutes
1,561
Started
17/18
Min / app
87
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tsintotas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €151k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Panagiotis Tsintotas's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 32nd31stMinutes12thStarts11thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2010
Peak
€900k
Oct 2020
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
5 club changes
Jun 2026€200kAsteras AktorValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Asteras Aktor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-10-01€25kPierikos Katerini
2010-11-16€50kPierikos Katerini
2011-07-04€50kPierikos Katerini
2011-11-07€50kPierikos Katerini
2011-12-29€50kPierikos Katerini
2012-04-09€150kPierikos Katerini
2012-09-21€250kLevadiakos
2013-02-10€250kLevadiakos
2013-12-02€200kLevadiakos
2014-03-28€150kLevadiakos
2014-11-11€150kLevadiakos
2015-05-10€150kLevadiakos
2015-09-27€250kLevadiakos
2016-06-21€300kLevadiakos
2016-12-21€300kLevadiakos
2017-05-11€300kLevadiakos
2017-12-18€350kAEK Athens
2018-05-22€700kAEK Athens
2018-12-07€700kAEK Athens
2019-05-21€700kAEK Athens
2019-12-18€600kAEK Athens
2020-04-08€475kAEK Athens
2020-08-04€500kAEK Athens
2020-10-12€900kAEK Athens
2021-02-12€900kAEK Athens
2021-11-01€700kAEK Athens
2022-06-09€500kAEK Athens
2022-11-07€300kAEK Athens
2023-05-22€350kPAS Giannina
2023-12-20€350kAtromitos Athens
2024-05-30€300kAtromitos Athens
2024-12-18€300kAsteras Aktor
2025-05-23€300kAsteras Aktor
2025-12-12€250kAsteras Aktor
2026-06-04€200kAsteras Aktor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.281

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 10% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 9% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tsintotas appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).