PanagiotisTsintotas

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: Asteras Aktor
League: Super League
Nationality: Greece
Age: 32
Height: 194 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tsintotas at €200k. Model A, which never saw Tsintotas during training, estimates €151k: the market value is 33% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €320k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 18
Minutes: 1,561
Started: 17/18
Min / app: 87
Cards: 4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tsintotas…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €25k; Oct 2010
Peak: €900k; Oct 2020
Model target: €200k; Jun 2026
Valuations: 35; 5 club changes

Jun 2026€200kAsteras AktorValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Asteras Aktor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2010-10-01	€25k	Pierikos Katerini
2010-11-16	€50k	Pierikos Katerini
2011-07-04	€50k	Pierikos Katerini
2011-11-07	€50k	Pierikos Katerini
2011-12-29	€50k	Pierikos Katerini
2012-04-09	€150k	Pierikos Katerini
2012-09-21	€250k	Levadiakos
2013-02-10	€250k	Levadiakos
2013-12-02	€200k	Levadiakos
2014-03-28	€150k	Levadiakos
2014-11-11	€150k	Levadiakos
2015-05-10	€150k	Levadiakos
2015-09-27	€250k	Levadiakos
2016-06-21	€300k	Levadiakos
2016-12-21	€300k	Levadiakos
2017-05-11	€300k	Levadiakos
2017-12-18	€350k	AEK Athens
2018-05-22	€700k	AEK Athens
2018-12-07	€700k	AEK Athens
2019-05-21	€700k	AEK Athens
2019-12-18	€600k	AEK Athens
2020-04-08	€475k	AEK Athens
2020-08-04	€500k	AEK Athens
2020-10-12	€900k	AEK Athens
2021-02-12	€900k	AEK Athens
2021-11-01	€700k	AEK Athens
2022-06-09	€500k	AEK Athens
2022-11-07	€300k	AEK Athens
2023-05-22	€350k	PAS Giannina
2023-12-20	€350k	Atromitos Athens
2024-05-30	€300k	Atromitos Athens
2024-12-18	€300k	Asteras Aktor
2025-05-23	€300k	Asteras Aktor
2025-12-12	€250k	Asteras Aktor
2026-06-04	€200k	Asteras Aktor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.281

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 10% of the 356 Super League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 9% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Tsintotas appears

TerminalSuper League in the Player Explorer
TerminalSuper League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).