FairValue

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Andreas

Bouchalakis

CMGreece · Panetolikos

№ 157535Emerging €261k +0.14

Player dossierSuper League

AndreasBouchalakis

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Panetolikos
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
33
Height
186 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bouchalakis at €300k. Model A, which never saw Bouchalakis during training, estimates €261k: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €296k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €261k▲ +0.01B €296k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
25
Minutes
1,768
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
19/25
Min / app
71
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bouchalakis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €300kModel A €261k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Andreas Bouchalakis's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 57th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals8thAssists31stMinutes63rdStarts57thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

76% this player69% midfielder median63rd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2011
Peak
€5M
May 2021
Model target
€300k
Jun 2026
Valuations
37
6 club changes
Jun 2026€300kPanetolikosValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €300k, Panetolikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-07€100kErgotelis FC
2011-11-14€100kErgotelis FC
2012-02-26€150kErgotelis FC
2012-07-12€250kErgotelis FC
2012-11-21€350kErgotelis FC
2013-03-28€500kErgotelis FC
2013-12-02€600kErgotelis FC
2014-03-28€600kErgotelis FC
2014-11-11€800kOlympiacos Piraeus
2015-05-10€800kOlympiacos Piraeus
2015-09-27€1MOlympiacos Piraeus
2016-06-21€1MOlympiacos Piraeus
2016-12-21€900kOlympiacos Piraeus
2017-05-11€800kOlympiacos Piraeus
2017-09-18€800kNottingham Forest
2018-12-07€1.3MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-05-21€1.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-09-23€2MOlympiacos Piraeus
2019-12-18€2MOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-04-08€1.6MOlympiacos Piraeus
2020-08-04€3MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-02-12€4MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-05-30€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2021-11-01€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-06-09€5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2022-11-07€4MOlympiacos Piraeus
2023-03-14€4MKonyaspor
2023-06-08€3MKonyaspor
2023-10-20€2MHertha BSC
2023-12-15€1.5MHertha BSC
2024-06-06€1MHertha BSC
2024-09-25€700kHertha BSC
2024-12-19€500kHertha BSC
2025-03-26€350kHertha BSC
2025-06-19€350kHertha BSC
2025-12-12€350kPanetolikos
2026-06-04€300kPanetolikos

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.139

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 20% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 7% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€300kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bouchalakis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).