FairValue

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Tobias

Mohr

LMGermany · Standard Liège

№ 153661Emerging €1M −0.25

Player dossierPro League

TobiasMohr

LMLeft MidfieldMidfield

Club
Standard Liège
League
Pro League
Nationality
Germany
Age
30
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mohr at €800k. Model A, which never saw Mohr during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €709k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €1M▲ +0.12B €709k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,288
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
26/38
Min / app
60
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mohr…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Tobias Mohr's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 43rd, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 30th48thGoals43rdAssists43rdMinutes49thStarts73rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,288 this player1,541 midfielder median73rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2014
Peak
€1.8M
Sept 2022
Model target
€800k
Jun 2026
Valuations
33
4 club changes
Jun 2026€800kStandard LiègeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €800k, Standard Liège. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-07-27€25kAlemannia Aachen
2015-01-01€50kAlemannia Aachen
2015-06-30€50kAlemannia Aachen
2016-01-15€50kAlemannia Aachen
2016-07-15€75kAlemannia Aachen
2016-11-20€75kAlemannia Aachen
2017-07-01€100kAlemannia Aachen
2017-10-16€125kAlemannia Aachen
2018-02-03€150kAlemannia Aachen
2018-08-21€250kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2018-10-16€600kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2019-01-08€750kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2019-06-12€750kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2019-12-13€600kSpVgg Greuther Fürth
2020-04-02€900k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2020-04-08€725k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2021-02-08€750k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2021-06-16€700k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2021-12-15€850k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2022-03-23€1.1M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2022-06-16€1.3M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2022-09-21€1.8MFC Schalke 04
2022-11-09€1.8MFC Schalke 04
2023-06-22€1.2MFC Schalke 04
2023-10-20€900kFC Schalke 04
2023-12-15€900kFC Schalke 04
2024-03-22€700kFC Schalke 04
2024-06-06€500kFC Schalke 04
2024-12-19€500kFC Schalke 04
2025-06-19€500kFC Schalke 04
2025-10-01€750kStandard Liège
2025-12-10€900kStandard Liège
2026-06-04€800kStandard Liège

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.249

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 22% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mohr appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).