Matías
Vecino
CMUruguay · Celta de Vigo
Player dossierLaLiga
MatíasVecino
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Celta de Vigo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Uruguay
- Age
- 34
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Vecino at €1M. Model A, which never saw Vecino during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 55
- Minutes
- 2,629
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 26/55
- Min / app
- 48
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vecino…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
37% this player0% midfielder median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Aug 2010
- Peak
- €25M
- Oct 2018
- Model target
- €1M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 38
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €1M, Celta de Vigo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-08-20 | €125k | Central Español FC |
| 2011-02-01 | €250k | Central Español FC |
| 2011-08-24 | €275k | Club Nacional |
| 2012-02-21 | €350k | Club Nacional |
| 2012-08-06 | €500k | Club Nacional |
| 2013-02-12 | €2.3M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2013-06-19 | €2.3M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2014-01-07 | €2.3M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2014-07-01 | €2.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2015-01-07 | €3.2M | FC Empoli |
| 2015-07-01 | €4.2M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2015-11-05 | €6M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-01-04 | €7.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-04-01 | €10M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-07-15 | €12M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-01-02 | €11M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-06-08 | €13M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-10-13 | €17M | Inter Milan |
| 2017-12-29 | €23M | Inter Milan |
| 2018-06-07 | €21M | Inter Milan |
| 2018-10-12 | €25M | Inter Milan |
| 2018-12-20 | €25M | Inter Milan |
| 2019-06-06 | €23M | Inter Milan |
| 2019-12-12 | €23M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-04-08 | €18.5M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-08-25 | €16M | Inter Milan |
| 2020-12-29 | €12M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-06-03 | €8M | Inter Milan |
| 2021-12-28 | €5M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €3.5M | Inter Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €4.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-06-15 | €4.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2023-12-20 | €3M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-06-05 | €2.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2024-12-18 | €2.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-06-17 | €2M | SS Lazio |
| 2025-12-23 | €1.5M | SS Lazio |
| 2026-06-05 | €1M | Celta de Vigo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.186
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Vecino appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AzpilicuetaCBSevilla FC · LaLiga€1M
- ParejoCMVillarreal CF · LaLiga€1M
- BerchicheLBAthletic Bilbao · LaLiga€1M
- BalliuRBRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€1M
- DemirbayCMKasimpasa · midfielders€1M
- Oxlade-ChamberlainCMCeltic FC · midfielders€1M
- SuárezAMDeportivo Alavés · midfielders€1M
- OvereemDMSC Heerenveen · midfielders€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).