FairValue

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Bruno

Godeau

CBBelgium · SK Beveren

№ 142924Emerging €256k +0.31

Player dossierPro League

BrunoGodeau

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
SK Beveren
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
33
Height
190 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Godeau at €350k. Model A, which never saw Godeau during training, estimates €256k: the market value is 37% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €279k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.31A €256k▲ +0.23B €279k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
3,359
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
38/38
Min / app
88
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godeau…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €256k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Bruno Godeau's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 27th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists59thMinutes97thStarts27thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2012
Peak
€900k
Jul 2016
Model target
€350k
Dec 2025
Valuations
30
7 club changes
Dec 2025€350kSK BeverenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, SK Beveren. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-09-18€100kZulte Waregem
2013-01-09€600kZulte Waregem
2013-06-25€800kZulte Waregem
2014-02-10€800kZulte Waregem
2014-06-28€800kZulte Waregem
2015-01-11€800kKVC Westerlo
2015-10-22€600kZulte Waregem
2016-02-07€750kKV Oostende (-2024)
2016-07-15€900kKV Oostende (-2024)
2017-01-21€900kKV Oostende (-2024)
2017-06-06€900kKV Oostende (-2024)
2018-01-09€800kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2018-06-03€650kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2018-12-27€650kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-03-04€800kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-06-10€800kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2019-12-13€900kRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2020-04-08€725kKAA Gent
2020-10-16€700kKAA Gent
2021-01-04€600kKAA Gent
2021-06-07€600kKAA Gent
2022-01-06€600kKAA Gent
2022-04-12€600kKAA Gent
2022-11-04€500kKAA Gent
2023-06-09€400kKAA Gent
2023-12-19€500kSint-Truidense VV
2024-06-04€600kSint-Truidense VV
2024-12-11€500kSint-Truidense VV
2025-06-12€400kSint-Truidense VV
2025-12-18€350kSK Beveren

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.313

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 5% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Godeau appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).