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Julian

Jeanvier

CBGuinea · Kayserispor

№ 134277Emerging €252k +0.46

Player dossierSüper Lig

JulianJeanvier

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Kayserispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Guinea
Age
33
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Jun 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Jeanvier at €400k. Model A, which never saw Jeanvier during training, estimates €252k: the market value is 59% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €408k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.46A €252k▼ −0.02B €408k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
1,847
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
21/28
Min / app
66
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jeanvier…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €252k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Julian Jeanvier's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 35th, Minutes, last 365 days 27th, European club minutes 30th63rdGoals56thAssists30thMinutes35thStarts27thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.05 this player0.03 defender median63rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2012
Peak
€2.5M
May 2018
Model target
€400k
Jun 2025
Valuations
28
9 club changes
Jun 2025€400kKayserisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2025: €400k, Kayserispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-07-25€150kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2013-01-07€150kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2013-05-30€500kAS Nancy-Lorraine
2014-01-14€500kLOSC Lille
2015-01-11€500kMouscron-Péruwelz
2016-02-04€500kRed Star FC
2016-07-13€500kStade Reims
2017-03-20€1.3MStade Reims
2017-06-15€1.8MStade Reims
2018-05-16€2.5MStade Reims
2019-06-28€2.5MBrentford FC
2020-02-27€2.5MBrentford FC
2020-04-08€2MBrentford FC
2020-12-23€1.8MKasimpasa
2021-03-16€1.5MKasimpasa
2021-05-21€1MKasimpasa
2021-12-23€1MBrentford FC
2022-06-15€900kBrentford FC
2022-11-02€800kAJ Auxerre
2023-06-27€800kAJ Auxerre
2023-09-27€700kKayserispor
2023-12-21€700kKayserispor
2024-03-15€800kKayserispor
2024-05-31€750kKayserispor
2024-10-04€750kKayserispor
2024-12-23€650kKayserispor
2025-03-20€500kKayserispor
2025-06-18€400kKayserispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.464

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 15% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jeanvier appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).