Hördur
Magnússon
CBIceland · Levadiakos
Player dossierSuper League
HördurMagnússon
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Levadiakos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Iceland
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Magnússon at €450k. Model A, which never saw Magnússon during training, estimates €249k: the market value is 81% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.81. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €273k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 20
- Minutes
- 1,643
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 18/20
- Min / app
- 82
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Magnússon…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
90% this player83% defender median69th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2011
- Peak
- €5M
- Dec 2018
- Model target
- €450k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 35
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €450k, Levadiakos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-06-07 | €50k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2012-03-01 | €50k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2012-08-25 | €100k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2013-06-06 | €100k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2014-01-29 | €200k | Spezia Calcio |
| 2014-07-15 | €400k | Spezia Calcio |
| 2015-01-07 | €500k | AC Cesena |
| 2015-07-01 | €500k | AC Cesena |
| 2015-12-28 | €500k | AC Cesena |
| 2016-06-01 | €600k | AC Cesena |
| 2016-09-01 | €1.8M | Bristol City |
| 2017-02-27 | €1.8M | Bristol City |
| 2017-09-18 | €1.8M | Bristol City |
| 2018-02-27 | €1.5M | Bristol City |
| 2018-07-06 | €2.8M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2018-12-20 | €5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-06-14 | €5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2019-12-23 | €5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-04-08 | €4M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-07-29 | €4M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2020-12-29 | €4M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2021-06-02 | €3.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2021-12-29 | €3M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2022-06-02 | €2.5M | CSKA Moscow |
| 2022-11-07 | €2.5M | Panathinaikos |
| 2023-05-22 | €2M | Panathinaikos |
| 2023-12-20 | €2M | Panathinaikos |
| 2024-03-06 | €1.8M | Panathinaikos |
| 2024-05-30 | €1.5M | Panathinaikos |
| 2024-09-26 | €1.2M | Panathinaikos |
| 2024-12-18 | €900k | Panathinaikos |
| 2025-03-14 | €800k | Panathinaikos |
| 2025-05-23 | €600k | Panathinaikos |
| 2025-12-12 | €500k | Levadiakos |
| 2026-06-04 | €450k | Levadiakos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.594
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 35% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 17% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Magnússon appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- OzegovicCFLevadiakos · Super League€450k
- DeligiannidisRBAsteras Aktor · Super League€450k
- KotsarisGKPanathinaikos · Super League€450k
- FabianoCBAris Thessaloniki · Super League€450k
- CresswellLBStoke City · defenders€450k
- GrétarssonCBSönderjyske Fodbold · defenders€450k
- JohanssonCBHolstein Kiel · defenders€450k
- VlietinckRBOud-Heverlee Leuven · defenders€450k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).