FairValue

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David

López

CBSpain · Girona FC

№ 129444Emerging €636k −0.06

Player dossierLaLiga

DavidLópez

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Girona FC
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
36
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values López at €600k. Model A, which never saw López during training, estimates €636k: the market value is 6% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €530k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.06A €636k▲ +0.12B €530k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
3,136
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
34/41
Min / app
76
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for López…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €636k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

David López's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 43rd, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 51st, Minutes, last 365 days 7th, European club minutes 74th69thGoals43rdAssists55thMinutes51stStarts7thRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

12% this player0% defender median74th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Dec 2012
Peak
€15M
Jul 2018
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
35
4 club changes
Jun 2026€600kGirona FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, Girona FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-12-04€400kSD Huesca
2013-06-17€800kSD Huesca
2013-07-25€1MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2014-01-23€1.8MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2014-07-19€5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2014-11-08€6.5MSSC Napoli
2015-01-07€7MSSC Napoli
2015-07-01€8MSSC Napoli
2016-01-04€6.5MSSC Napoli
2016-07-15€6.5MSSC Napoli
2017-01-24€6.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2017-06-05€6.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2018-01-01€6.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2018-05-30€8MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2018-07-19€15MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2018-12-21€12MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2019-06-11€9MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2019-12-20€7.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2020-04-08€6MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2020-10-08€4MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-01-08€3MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-03-19€2.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-06-24€2.5MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2021-12-30€2MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2022-06-03€1.8MRCD Espanyol Barcelona
2022-11-07€2MGirona FC
2023-06-13€2MGirona FC
2023-10-13€3MGirona FC
2023-12-22€3MGirona FC
2024-06-07€2.5MGirona FC
2024-12-27€2MGirona FC
2025-06-09€1MGirona FC
2025-10-02€900kGirona FC
2025-12-12€800kGirona FC
2026-06-05€600kGirona FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.058

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 3% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where López appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).