FairValue

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Lucas

Villafañez

AMArgentina · AE Kifisia

№ 125918Emerging €139k +0.37

Player dossierSuper League

LucasVillafañez

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
AE Kifisia
League
Super League
Nationality
Argentina
Age
34
Height
171 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Villafañez at €200k. Model A, which never saw Villafañez during training, estimates €139k: the market value is 44% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €160k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.37A €139k▲ +0.22B €160k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
30
Minutes
1,235
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
16/30
Min / app
41
Cards
9Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Villafañez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €139k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Lucas Villafañez's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 19th, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 12th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals87thAssists19thMinutes26thStarts12thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.22 this player0.09 midfielder median87th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Nov 2009
Peak
€2M
May 2017
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
11 club changes
Jun 2026€200kAE KifisiaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, AE Kifisia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2009-11-13€200kComisión de Actividades Infantiles
2011-01-01€200kCA Independiente
2011-06-30€800kComisión de Actividades Infantiles
2013-06-30€500kCA Independiente
2014-11-11€500kPanetolikos
2015-05-10€600kPanetolikos
2015-09-27€700kPanetolikos
2016-02-21€900kPanathinaikos
2016-06-21€1.3MPanathinaikos
2016-12-21€1.5MPanathinaikos
2017-05-11€2MPanathinaikos
2017-12-18€2MPanathinaikos
2018-04-11€1.3MAlanyaspor
2018-05-29€1.1MAlanyaspor
2019-01-04€1.3MAlanyaspor
2019-06-04€1.5MAlanyaspor
2019-08-13€1.5MMonarcas Morelia
2020-01-10€1.5MMonarcas Morelia
2020-04-08€1.2MMonarcas Morelia
2020-06-27€1.2MMonarcas Morelia
2021-02-12€1MPanathinaikos
2021-11-01€800kPanathinaikos
2022-06-09€700kPanathinaikos
2023-01-10€600kAPOEL Nicosia
2023-05-31€500kAPOEL Nicosia
2023-12-28€500kAPOEL Nicosia
2024-05-17€450kAPOEL Nicosia
2024-12-18€400kVolos NFC
2025-03-14€300kAE Kifisia
2025-05-16€250kAE Kifisia
2025-12-12€225kAE Kifisia
2026-06-04€200kAE Kifisia

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.366

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 10% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Villafañez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).