FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Vyacheslav

Churko

AMUkraine · Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

№ 131553Emerging €284k −0.35

Player dossierPremier Liha

VyacheslavChurko

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
33
Height
182 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Churko at €200k. Model A, which never saw Churko during training, estimates €284k: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €394k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.35A €284k▼ −0.68B €394k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
710
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
8/19
Min / app
37
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Churko…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €200k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €200kModel A €284k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Vyacheslav Churko's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 65th, Assists per 90 63rd, Minutes, two years 6th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 20th, European club minutes 30th65thGoals63rdAssists6thMinutes14thStarts20thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.13 this player0.08 midfielder median65th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Apr 2013
Peak
€800k
Jun 2014
Model target
€200k
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
10 club changes
Jun 2026€200kMetalist 1925 KharkivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €200k, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-04-30€300kGoverla Uzhgorod II (- 2016)
2013-06-15€600kGoverla Uzhgorod II (- 2016)
2014-06-30€800kIllichivets Mariupol
2014-12-25€600kIllichivets Mariupol
2015-06-07€600kIllichivets Mariupol
2015-12-17€600kMetalist Kharkiv
2016-06-01€400kPuskás Akadémia FC
2016-12-19€300kFrosinone Calcio
2017-06-09€250kFrosinone Calcio
2018-01-12€400kFC Mariupol
2018-08-06€500kFC Mariupol
2018-12-10€600kFC Mariupol
2019-06-20€600kFC Mariupol
2020-01-08€700kFC Mariupol
2020-04-08€550kFC Mariupol
2020-09-04€700kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-01-14€600kShakhtar Donetsk
2021-06-07€800kKolos Kovalivka
2021-12-20€700kKolos Kovalivka
2022-06-07€400kMezőkövesd Zsóry FC
2022-12-06€700kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€700kZorya Lugansk
2023-12-11€500kZorya Lugansk
2024-06-06€400kZorya Lugansk
2024-12-17€400kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2025-06-10€350kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2025-12-18€250kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
2026-06-02€200kMetalist 1925 Kharkiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.351

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 10% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 3% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€200kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Churko appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).