FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Caleb

Yirenkyi

CMGhana · FC Nordsjaelland

№ 1240763Elite €5.3M +0.63

Player dossierSuperliga

CalebYirenkyi

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Nordsjaelland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Ghana
Age
20
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Yirenkyi at €10M. Model A, which never saw Yirenkyi during training, estimates €5.3M: the market value is 87% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.63A €5.3M▲ +0.93B €4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,678
Goals
3
Assists
5
Started
30/34
Min / app
79
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yirenkyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €5.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Caleb Yirenkyi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 70th, European club minutes 30th56thGoals76thAssists52ndMinutes84thStarts70thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

88% this player69% midfielder median84th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2024
Peak
€10M
May 2026
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
4
1 club change
May 2026€10MFC NordsjaellandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, FC Nordsjaelland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-12-09€50kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2025-06-16€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2025-12-15€6MFC Nordsjaelland
2026-05-25€10MFC Nordsjaelland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.627

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Joint 3rd highest observed value among 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yirenkyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).