FairValue

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Portrait of Emre Can

Emre

Can

CBGermany · Borussia Dortmund

№ 119296Established €4.2M −0.33

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

EmreCan

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Borussia Dortmund
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
32
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Can at €3M. Model A, which never saw Can during training, estimates €4.2M: the market value is 28% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.39. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.33A €4.2M▲ +0.16B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
4,281
Goals
9
Assists
2
Started
46/62
Min / app
69
Cards
10Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Can…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €4.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Emre Can's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 98th, Assists per 90 52nd, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 34th, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 95th98thGoals52ndAssists74thMinutes34thStarts28thRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.19 this player0.03 defender median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2011
Peak
€40M
Jun 2019
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
41
5 club changes
May 2026€3MBorussia DortmundValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, Borussia Dortmund. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-07-02€150kFC Bayern Munich II
2012-01-09€200kFC Bayern Munich II
2012-02-03€400kFC Bayern Munich II
2012-03-05€600kFC Bayern Munich II
2012-08-26€1.5MBayern Munich
2013-01-13€1.5MBayern Munich
2013-06-30€1.5MBayern Munich
2013-08-27€5MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2014-02-12€7.5MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2014-08-12€12MLiverpool FC
2015-02-12€12MLiverpool FC
2015-07-01€15MLiverpool FC
2016-02-09€15MLiverpool FC
2016-06-01€18MLiverpool FC
2016-08-01€18MLiverpool FC
2017-02-20€15MLiverpool FC
2017-06-28€15MLiverpool FC
2017-10-23€22MLiverpool FC
2018-01-02€28MLiverpool FC
2018-05-28€30MLiverpool FC
2018-12-20€30MJuventus FC
2019-06-06€40MJuventus FC
2019-10-08€33MJuventus FC
2019-12-12€30MJuventus FC
2020-04-08€24MBorussia Dortmund
2020-09-16€26MBorussia Dortmund
2021-02-10€26MBorussia Dortmund
2021-06-01€26MBorussia Dortmund
2021-12-22€22MBorussia Dortmund
2022-03-24€16MBorussia Dortmund
2022-06-09€16MBorussia Dortmund
2022-09-21€14MBorussia Dortmund
2022-11-09€14MBorussia Dortmund
2023-06-22€14MBorussia Dortmund
2023-12-14€12MBorussia Dortmund
2024-05-29€10MBorussia Dortmund
2024-12-20€7MBorussia Dortmund
2025-06-05€7MBorussia Dortmund
2025-12-19€6MBorussia Dortmund
2026-03-20€4MBorussia Dortmund
2026-05-27€3MBorussia Dortmund

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.328

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 31% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Can appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).