FairValue

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Portrait of Granit Xhaka

Granit

Xhaka

DMSwitzerland · Sunderland AFC

№ 111455Established €6.8M +0.16

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

GranitXhaka

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sunderland AFC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Switzerland
Age
33
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Xhaka at €8M. Model A, which never saw Xhaka during training, estimates €6.8M: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.16A €6.8M▲ +0.07B €7.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
85
Minutes
7,213
Goals
3
Assists
13
Started
80/85
Min / app
85
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Xhaka…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €6.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Granit Xhaka's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 27th, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 98th, Starts 92nd, Minutes, last 365 days 92nd, European club minutes 74th27thGoals75thAssists98thMinutes92ndStarts92ndRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

7,213 this player2,607 midfielder median98th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2010
Peak
€50M
Dec 2018
Model target
€8M
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
4 club changes
Jun 2026€8MSunderland AFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €8M, Sunderland AFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2010-07-05€50kFC Basel 1893
2010-09-25€200kFC Basel 1893
2010-12-22€400kFC Basel 1893
2011-03-18€750kFC Basel 1893
2011-06-15€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2011-12-15€2.5MFC Basel 1893
2012-01-10€6MFC Basel 1893
2012-05-30€8.5MFC Basel 1893
2013-01-13€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2013-06-30€7.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2014-02-12€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2014-07-10€10MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2015-02-04€13MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2015-07-01€20MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-02-15€25MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-06-01€35MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2016-08-01€35MArsenal FC
2017-02-20€35MArsenal FC
2017-06-28€35MArsenal FC
2018-01-02€35MArsenal FC
2018-05-28€40MArsenal FC
2018-12-19€50MArsenal FC
2019-06-13€45MArsenal FC
2019-09-12€40MArsenal FC
2019-12-10€30MArsenal FC
2020-04-08€24MArsenal FC
2020-10-13€28MArsenal FC
2020-12-17€25MArsenal FC
2021-03-18€22MArsenal FC
2021-05-25€22MArsenal FC
2021-12-23€20MArsenal FC
2022-06-15€20MArsenal FC
2022-09-15€25MArsenal FC
2022-11-03€28MArsenal FC
2023-06-20€20MArsenal FC
2023-12-14€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2024-05-29€20MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2024-12-20€17MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-06-05€12MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-12-09€10MSunderland AFC
2026-06-03€8MSunderland AFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.162

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Xhaka appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).