Damián
Puebla
AMArgentina · FC Orenburg
Player dossierPremier Liga
DamiánPuebla
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Orenburg
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Argentina
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Puebla at €2M. Model A, which never saw Puebla during training, estimates €499k: the market value is 301% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×4.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €340k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 680
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/12
- Min / app
- 57
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Puebla…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
67% this player69% midfielder median45th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jul 2023
- Peak
- €4M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 9
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €2M, FC Orenburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-04 | €25k | Instituto ACC II |
| 2023-12-19 | €50k | Instituto ACC II |
| 2024-03-11 | €3M | Instituto ACC |
| 2024-06-12 | €3.5M | Instituto ACC |
| 2024-12-13 | €4M | Instituto ACC |
| 2025-04-02 | €3.5M | Instituto ACC |
| 2025-06-02 | €3M | Instituto ACC |
| 2025-12-17 | €2.5M | Instituto ACC |
| 2026-05-26 | €2M | FC Orenburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.388
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Puebla appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZobninCMSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€2M
- KaravaevRBZenit St. Petersburg · Premier Liga€2M
- MiranchukAMDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€2M
- ZinkovskiyLWFC Sochi · Premier Liga€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).