FairValue

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Anthony

Dennis

DMNigeria · Göztepe

№ 1104114Established €9.5M −0.17

Player dossierSüper Lig

AnthonyDennis

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Göztepe
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
21
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dennis at €8M. Model A, which never saw Dennis during training, estimates €9.5M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €9.5M▲ +0.11B €7.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
63
Minutes
5,149
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
61/63
Min / app
82
Cards
18Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dennis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €8MModel A €9.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Anthony Dennis's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 35th, Assists per 90 30th, Minutes, two years 88th, Starts 96th, Minutes, last 365 days 83rd, European club minutes 30th35thGoals30thAssists88thMinutes96thStarts83rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player69% midfielder median96th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Oct 2023
Peak
€8M
Mar 2026
Model target
€8M
May 2026
Valuations
12
0 club changes
May 2026€8MGöztepeValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €8M, Göztepe. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-10-20€25kGöztepe
2023-12-29€25kGöztepe
2024-03-26€375kGöztepe
2024-06-13€500kGöztepe
2024-10-04€1MGöztepe
2024-12-23€1.3MGöztepe
2025-03-20€2MGöztepe
2025-06-18€4MGöztepe
2025-10-01€5MGöztepe
2025-12-17€5MGöztepe
2026-03-05€8MGöztepe
2026-05-21€8MGöztepe

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.174

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 91% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 74% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dennis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).