Ousmane
Diao
CBSenegal · FC Midtjylland
Player dossierSuperliga
OusmaneDiao
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Midtjylland
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 21
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
SuperligaReading the valuation
The market values Diao at €8M. Model A, which never saw Diao during training, estimates €12.5M: the market value is 36% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 63
- Minutes
- 5,258
- Goals
- 9
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 59/63
- Min / app
- 83
- Cards
- 11Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diao…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
40% this player0% defender median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jun 2023
- Peak
- €8M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 7
- 1 club change
May 2026: €8M, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-28 | €250k | CD Mafra |
| 2023-12-14 | €750k | CD Mafra |
| 2024-06-20 | €1M | CD Mafra |
| 2024-12-09 | €4M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-06-16 | €7.5M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2025-12-15 | €8M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2026-05-25 | €8M | FC Midtjylland |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.446
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
5th highest observed value among 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 78% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Diao appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CastilloCMFC Midtjylland · Superliga€7M
- Prince Amoako Jr.LWFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€7M
- ŞimşirLWFC Midtjylland · Superliga€10M
- YirenkyiCMFC Nordsjaelland · Superliga€10M
- LaporteCBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · defenders€8M
- CanceloRBFC Barcelona · defenders€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · defenders€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).