Dro
Fernández
AMSpain · Paris Saint-Germain
Player dossierLigue 1
DroFernández
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Paris Saint-Germain
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 18
- Height
- 180 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Fernández at €10M. Model A, which never saw Fernández during training, estimates €18.8M: the market value is 47% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.88. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €8.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 833
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 9/18
- Min / app
- 46
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fernández…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
7% this player0% midfielder median68th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €5M
- Sept 2025
- Peak
- €10M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €10M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 3
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €10M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | €5M | FC Barcelona Atlètic |
| 2025-12-12 | €10M | FC Barcelona |
| 2026-06-01 | €10M | Paris Saint-Germain |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.634
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 66% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Fernández appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MinaminoLWAS Monaco · Ligue 1€10M
- TolissoCMOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€10M
- Saint-MaximinLWRC Lens · Ligue 1€10M
- Maitland-NilesRBOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€10M
- KovacicCMManchester City · midfielders€10M
- ZielinskiCMInter Milan · midfielders€10M
- EggesteinCMSC Freiburg · midfielders€10M
- LobotkaDMSSC Napoli · midfielders€10M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).