FairValue

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Portrait of Benjamin Fredrick

Benjamin

Fredrick

CBNigeria · FCV Dender EH

№ 1071138Emerging €461k +0.26

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPro League

BenjaminFredrick

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FCV Dender EH
League
Pro League
Nationality
Nigeria
Age
21
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Fredrick at €600k. Model A, which never saw Fredrick during training, estimates €461k: the market value is 30% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €623k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €461k▼ −0.04B €623k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
861
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
10/14
Min / app
62
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Fredrick…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €461k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Benjamin Fredrick's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 9th, Starts 29th, Minutes, last 365 days 25th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists9thMinutes29thStarts25thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
May 2023
Peak
€800k
Dec 2025
Model target
€600k
Jun 2026
Valuations
6
2 club changes
Jun 2026€600kFCV Dender EHValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €600k, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2023-05-17€150kNasarawa United
2024-06-27€150kBrentford FC B
2025-05-30€150kBrentford FC B
2025-10-01€400kFCV Dender EH
2025-12-10€800kFCV Dender EH
2026-06-04€600kFCV Dender EH

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.264

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 13% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Fredrick appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).