FairValue

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Christian

Ordóñez

CMArgentina · Parma Calcio 1913

№ 1043646Established €6.5M 0.00

Player dossierSerie A

ChristianOrdóñez

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Parma Calcio 1913
League
Serie A
Nationality
Argentina
Age
21
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ordóñez at €6.5M. Model A, which never saw Ordóñez during training, estimates €6.5M: the market value is level with that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ 0.00A €6.5M▲ +0.92B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
1,351
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
15/31
Min / app
44
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ordóñez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6.5MModel A €6.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Christian Ordóñez's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 42nd, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 21st, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 30th42ndGoals8thAssists21stMinutes19thStarts43rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

1,351 this player1,541 midfielder median43rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Sept 2022
Peak
€7M
Dec 2024
Model target
€6.5M
May 2026
Valuations
11
2 club changes
May 2026€6.5MParma Calcio 1913Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6.5M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-09-06€25kCA Vélez Sarsfield II
2022-10-26€25kCA Vélez Sarsfield II
2023-07-04€400kCA Vélez Sarsfield
2023-12-19€325kCA Vélez Sarsfield
2024-03-11€1MCA Vélez Sarsfield
2024-06-12€2MCA Vélez Sarsfield
2024-09-30€5MCA Vélez Sarsfield
2024-12-13€7MCA Vélez Sarsfield
2025-06-02€7MCA Vélez Sarsfield
2025-12-23€6.5MParma Calcio 1913
2026-05-29€6.5MParma Calcio 1913

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.003

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 54% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 71% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ordóñez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).