Geoffrey
Kondo
Player dossierPro League
GeoffreyKondo
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Cercle Brugge
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Kondo at €3M. Model A, which never saw Kondo during training, estimates €723k: the market value is 315% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×4.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €929k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 10
- Minutes
- 900
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 10/10
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kondo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Dec 2022
- Peak
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €3M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 10
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €3M, Cercle Brugge. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-20 | €150k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2023-06-14 | €150k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2024-06-14 | €125k | AS Furiani-Agliani |
| 2024-12-04 | €100k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2025-03-12 | €200k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2025-06-02 | €200k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2025-10-13 | €500k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2025-12-11 | €800k | USL Dunkerque |
| 2026-03-13 | €2M | Cercle Brugge |
| 2026-06-04 | €3M | Cercle Brugge |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.422
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 67% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 59% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kondo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KerkRWRoyal Antwerp FC · Pro League€3M
- ItoRWKRC Genk · Pro League€3M
- KangaCFKAA Gent · Pro League€3M
- HeydenCBKAA Gent · Pro League€3M
- AlabaCBReal Madrid · defenders€3M
- VrijCBInter Milan · defenders€3M
- KeaneCBEverton FC · defenders€3M
- WeiserRBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€3M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).



