FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Portrait of Martial Godo

Martial

Godo

LWCote d'Ivoire · RC Strasbourg Alsace

№ 992686Elite €14.2M +0.44

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

MartialGodo

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
RC Strasbourg Alsace
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Cote d'Ivoire
Age
23
Height
177 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Godo at €22M. Model A, which never saw Godo during training, estimates €14.2M: the market value is 55% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.55. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €14.2M▲ +1.29B €6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
32
Minutes
1,707
Goals
10
Assists
3
Started
19/32
Min / app
53
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Godo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €22M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €22MModel A €14.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Martial Godo's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 91st, Assists per 90 54th, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 51st, Minutes, last 365 days 60th, European club minutes 28th91stGoals54thAssists37thMinutes51stStarts60thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.53 this player0.26 attacker median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2022
Peak
€22M
Jun 2026
Model target
€22M
Jun 2026
Valuations
8
4 club changes
Jun 2026€22MRC Strasbourg AlsaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €22M, RC Strasbourg Alsace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-11-03€100kFulham FC U21
2023-12-27€450kWigan Athletic
2024-12-27€600kFulham FC U21
2025-05-30€600kFulham FC
2025-10-10€4MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-12-15€7MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2026-03-27€18MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2026-06-01€22MRC Strasbourg Alsace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.439

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 88% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 89% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Godo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).