FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Veljko

Milosavljevic

CBSerbia · AFC Bournemouth

№ 989112Elite €6M +1.21

Player dossierPremier League

VeljkoMilosavljevic

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AFC Bournemouth
League
Premier League
Nationality
Serbia
Age
18
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Milosavljevic at €20M. Model A, which never saw Milosavljevic during training, estimates €6M: the market value is 234% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×3.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.21A €6M▲ +1.51B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
714
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
7/12
Min / app
60
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Milosavljevic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Veljko Milosavljevic's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 5th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 99th18thGoals17thAssists5thMinutes14thStarts19thRecent99thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

49% this player0% defender median99th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Dec 2024
Peak
€20M
Dec 2025
Model target
€20M
Jun 2026
Valuations
6
1 club change
Jun 2026€20MAFC BournemouthValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €20M, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2024-12-27€300kRed Star Belgrade
2025-03-25€600kRed Star Belgrade
2025-06-12€1MRed Star Belgrade
2025-10-17€15MAFC Bournemouth
2025-12-09€20MAFC Bournemouth
2026-06-03€20MAFC Bournemouth

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.207

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 54% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Milosavljevic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).