FairValue

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Portrait of Pietro Terracciano

Pietro

Terracciano

GKItaly · AC Milan

№ 96254Emerging €303k +1.09

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

PietroTerracciano

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
AC Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
36
Height
193 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Terracciano at €900k. Model A, which never saw Terracciano during training, estimates €303k: the market value is 197% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €158k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.09A €303k▲ +1.74B €158k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
6
Minutes
484
Started
5/6
Min / app
81
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Terracciano…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €303k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Pietro Terracciano's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 2nd, Starts 3rd, Minutes, last 365 days 7th, European club minutes 32nd2ndMinutes3rdStarts7thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% goalkeeper median32nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Sept 2011
Peak
€2.5M
Dec 2023
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
34
6 club changes
May 2026€900kAC MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, AC Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-09-14€75kCalcio Catania
2012-01-10€75kCalcio Catania
2012-06-07€100kCalcio Catania
2013-01-14€100kCalcio Catania
2013-06-19€100kCalcio Catania
2014-01-29€200kAS Avellino 1912
2014-07-15€300kCalcio Catania
2015-02-10€225kCalcio Catania
2015-06-29€200kCalcio Catania
2015-12-28€200kUS Salernitana 1919
2016-06-13€300kUS Salernitana 1919
2016-12-19€400kUS Salernitana 1919
2017-06-09€350kUS Salernitana 1919
2017-12-21€300kFC Empoli
2018-06-18€250kFC Empoli
2018-10-12€1MFC Empoli
2018-12-20€800kFC Empoli
2019-06-06€800kACF Fiorentina
2019-12-12€500kACF Fiorentina
2020-04-08€400kACF Fiorentina
2020-08-25€1MACF Fiorentina
2020-12-29€1MACF Fiorentina
2021-06-03€800kACF Fiorentina
2021-12-28€1MACF Fiorentina
2022-03-15€1.5MACF Fiorentina
2022-06-07€1.5MACF Fiorentina
2022-11-11€2MACF Fiorentina
2023-06-15€2MACF Fiorentina
2023-12-20€2.5MACF Fiorentina
2024-06-05€2.5MACF Fiorentina
2024-12-18€1.5MACF Fiorentina
2025-06-17€1MACF Fiorentina
2025-12-23€1MAC Milan
2026-05-29€900kAC Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.087

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 7% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 45% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Terracciano appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).