Pape Demba
Diop
CMSenegal · FC Toulouse
Player dossierLigue 1
Pape DembaDiop
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Toulouse
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 182 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Diop at €9M. Model A, which never saw Diop during training, estimates €8M: the market value is 13% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 1,187
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 13/15
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diop…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
87% this player69% midfielder median81st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Sept 2022
- Peak
- €9M
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €9M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 2 club changes
Jun 2026: €9M, FC Toulouse. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-07 | €200k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2022-11-04 | €200k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2023-03-22 | €400k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2023-06-09 | €300k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2023-12-28 | €250k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2024-06-20 | €250k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2024-10-15 | €450k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2024-12-20 | €700k | Zulte Waregem |
| 2025-04-24 | €1M | Zulte Waregem |
| 2025-10-09 | €4M | 1.FC Nuremberg |
| 2025-12-16 | €4M | 1.FC Nuremberg |
| 2026-03-27 | €8M | FC Toulouse |
| 2026-06-01 | €9M | FC Toulouse |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.119
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 63% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 77% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Diop appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- EmersonLBOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€9M
- MangalaDMOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- GreifGKOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- Cristian Cásseres Jr.CMFC Toulouse · Ligue 1€9M
- MandragoraDMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- PrassLMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · midfielders€9M
- BrescianiniCMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- MaldiniAMSS Lazio · midfielders€9M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).